Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 393.417019 450.723139 515.746341 595.457980 691.179839 803.231984 945.508536
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 310.256059 383.418875 474.877196 599.470338 767.733876 991.499042 1319.305126
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 259.570635 336.427723 438.644808 587.972486 806.597829 1125.159471 1644.877899
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 229.132286 308.371616 419.115376 590.449200 858.978485 1282.684887 2044.805863
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 201.814902 279.684007 392.839859 576.147805 879.968258 1392.663668 2396.930777
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 182.608206 259.701266 375.688542 571.580987 913.481193 1528.315817 2837.363659
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 161.420119 234.059704 346.246748 541.859574 897.278643 1569.542348 3101.838476
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 154.257053 229.052804 348.367699 564.883933 978.951151 1815.345773 3904.199065
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 149.725612 227.551145 355.720040 597.784058 1085.521535 2140.770014 5050.484276
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 140.397538 217.145776 346.635966 598.830554 1128.175043 2338.172533 5959.700101
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 129.261618 202.640279 328.788035 580.458188 1126.110463 2430.040663 6607.920766
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 119.941326 190.434968 313.790866 565.609734 1128.946756 2535.103637 7360.366406
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 115.981321 187.397726 315.471472 585.453372 1216.823889 2895.239421 9275.214047
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 110.332469 180.877108 310.003088 589.679482 1269.055644 3177.407442 11137.113091
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 103.446478 171.526393 298.162684 578.409622 1280.285282 3342.793351 12647.408277
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 98.748649 165.819226 292.841063 580.836178 1327.677550 3640.242443 15100.847645
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 92.763590 157.244310 281.016398 566.824329 1327.961384 3782.527271 16897.814893
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 88.253374 151.146522 273.665250 562.349600 1354.277643 4028.424261 19629.130105
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 81.776311 140.843263 256.842158 533.223034 1303.994902 3975.033320 20368.818177
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 80.524742 140.610993 260.979855 555.787263 1412.554886 4583.976470 26830.029355
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 80.084912 141.929819 268.512516 588.021855 1560.083345 5438.960745 37384.844906
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 77.118423 137.958467 264.195506 589.047031 1607.215256 5878.103597 45226.267312
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 72.914587 131.209703 253.213334 571.047628 1586.407201 5986.153985 49699.074496